The Nikkei Stock Average on November 7th finished at 17,177.21 yen, which was 271.85 yen(1.6%) higher than that on November 4th. The Factor of the rise of the Nikkei Stock average was that Trump risk had been reduced.

However, buying and selling price was 1,971.7 billion yen, which did not exceed the 2 trillion yen, which is considered a standard trading volume. I think there are many “wait-and-see” investors, who try to design their investment strategy after monitoring the results of the American presidential election.

[FBI Absolves Clinton Again, Two Days Ahead of U.S. Election]
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-11-06/fbi-says-its-conclusions-on-clinton-s-e-mails-not-changed

Signs of the rise of the Nikkei Stock Average appear!

In charts, we have signs of the rise of the Nikkei Stock Average. The Nikkei stock average has been supported by the 25-day moving average line and the 52-week moving average line. Also, if the Nikkei stock average can keep the 17,000 yen level in this vein, the 13-week moving average line and the 52-week moving average line might be Golden Cross. Although the 5-day moving average line is likely to function as a resistance line against the rise of the Nikkei Stock Average, I think it can come beyond the 5-day moving average smoothly, depending on the rise of Today’s Dow Jones industrial average.

Will Dow Jones industrial average rise after Hillary’s e-mail problem has been solved?

Dow Jones industrial average on November 4th finished at $ 17,888.28, which is 0.2% lower than that on November 3rd. The cause of the stock price decline is that the difference of support rates between Hillary and Trump became narrowed in the American presidential election.

However, FBI director Comey has determined that “(Hillary Clinton’s emails) have not changed our conclusion.” And then, Dow Jones industrial average on November 7th is expected to stop lowering.

[S&P 500 Extends Selloff to Longest Since 1980 as Election Looms]
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-04/s-p-500-futures-little-changed-before-payrolls-data-elections

[FBI Absolves Clinton Again, Two Days Ahead of U.S. Election]
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-11-06/fbi-says-its-conclusions-on-clinton-s-e-mails-not-changed

In charts, Dow Jones industrial average has gone under the $ 18,000 and been gradually falling. As described above, since Clinton’s e-mail problem has been solved, the probability that Dow Jones industrial average stops lowing is high. However, if the investor’s sentiment is not improved enough, I expect that Dow Jones industrial average falls to the 200-day moving average line(around $ 17,770).

Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average, and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.

Thank you.

k-zma

Dow Jones industrial average on November 3rd finished at $ 17,930.67, which was 0.2 percent lower than that on November 2nd. The cause of the decline is due to investor’s sentiment exacerbated by the news about Trump’s advantage for the American presidential election. Dow Jones industrial average had risen, interweaving Hillary’s advantage.

Although the interest rate hike in December was implied by Ieren, who is a Federal Reserve Chair, it was interwoven into Dow Jones industrial average.

Therefore, news about the American presidential election gave lager impact to Dow Jones industrial average than those about the interest hike in December. It means that most investors are interested in the American presidential election rather than the interest hike in December.

[Stocks Almost Always Rise Before an Election. Not This Year]
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-03/another-norm-breaks-in-political-season-as-stocks-drop-into-vote

In the chart, Dow Jones industrial average has been under $ 18,000. The 5-day moving average line might push the higher quotation of Dow Jones industrial average.

The Nikkei Stock Average declined in the speculation of the American presidential election.

The Nikkei Stock Average on November 4th finished at 16,905.36 yen, which was 229.32 yen(1.3%) lower than that on November 2nd. The cause of the decline is uncertainty of the American presidential election by the support rate rise of Mr. Trump, which made investor’s sentiment worse and worse while the Japanese market was closed. Also, exchange rate has fluctuated up to $ 1 = 102 yen latter. Yen continued to strengthen against dollar. The stock price of export-related companies fell mainly.

Close out a long position as soon as the birth of President Trump has been tinged with reality.

In the daily chart, the Nikkei Stock Average significantly fell for the second successive day. 52-week moving average line(about 17,000 yen) did not fully function as a support line. I think that the Nikkei Stock Average will not fall, as long as there is nothing of a great extent, because the 75-day moving average line and the 13-week moving average line is functioning as a resistance line of the decline of the Nikkei Stock Average.
But, the birth of President Trump has been tinged with reality, it is strongly recommended that you should close out a long position. It is not exaggeration that the Nikkei Stock Average might fell by ¥ 16,300 ~ 16,600.

Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average, and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.

Thank you.

k-zma

Dow Jones industrial average on November 1st finished at $ 18,037.10, which , was 0.6% lower than one on October 31st. The cause of the share price decline is the deterioration of investor sentiment that comes from the Uncertainty of the American presidential election. Most investors had designed the investment strategy based on Clinton win. However, as Trump was taking advantage, investors have been forced to change the investment strategy.

[U.S. Stocks Fall to July Low as Election Anxiety Rises Amid Fed]
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-01/s-p-500-futures-rise-as-china-data-ease-growth-fears-before-fed

Can Dow Jones industrial average stay over $ 18,000 ?

In the chart, Dow Jones industrial average has been barely supported by investors at the edge of $ 18,000. You must be careful if Dow Jones industrial average finishes under the $ 18,000 at the closing. Possibility that Dow Jones industrial average plummets will be very high.

Direction of the Nikkei Stock Average will be determined by fluctuations of Dow Jones industrial average, while Japanese market is close.

The Nikkei Stock Average on November 2nd finished at 17,134.68 yen, which was 307.72 yen (1.76%) lower than one on November 1st. The cause of the decline is that Trump’s support rate rises for the American presidential election and the American presidential election result has become uncertain. In addition, Yen becomes strong against the dollar. The stock of companies that make up the Nikkei Stock Average was sold widely.

In the daily chart, Nikkei Stock Average fell significantly. Fortunately, in the weekly chart, it is supported by the 52-week moving average line.

However, there is also a possibility that Nikkei Stock Average will plunge under the 52-week moving average line, depending on the fluctuations of the Dow Jones industrial average on November 2rd and 3rd.

Especially, be careful on November 3rd! I think that it is November 3rd when Japanese market is close and foreign investors might play a funny trick on the exchange rates.

Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average, and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.

Thank you.

k-zma

Dow Jones industrial average on October 31st finished at $ 18,142.42, which was 0.1 percent lower than one on October 28th. It seems that we don’t have to take into account the probability of the decline of Dow Jones industrial average. However, the downside risk of it is enhanced by two kinds of news below.

1. There is a growing uncertainty over the American presidential election results. In the American presidential election, the difference of the support rate between Clinton and Trump has been reduced.

2. Futures prices for crude oil WTI has been falling. Some countries try to seek a production cut participation exemption, although production cut agreement is almost made.

【Bonds Climb as Oil Plunge Damps Inflation Jitters; Ruble Slumps】
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-30/mexican-peso-falls-with-s-p-500-futures-as-clinton-s-lead-slips

【One Measure of Risk Just Hit Its Highest Level in Four Months】
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-31/s-p-500-futures-little-changed-as-investors-await-fed-election

Wait until next week! A strong point might appear

The Nikkei Stock Average on November 1st finished at 17,442.40 yen, which is 17.38 yen (0.1%) higher than one on October 31st. Announcement of the Bank of Japan that reaches a consensus of investors didn’t make a major impact on the Nikkei Stock Average.

Buying and selling price (2,109.5 billion yen) has been exceeded over 2 trillion, which is considered to be a standard trade. It feels like to come back in trade, in spite of the fact that
there are considerable events, such as FOMC and the announcement of the US employment statistics.

In the chart, the Nikkei Stock Average is likely to go up. The Golden Cross of 13-week moving average line and 52-week moving average line will be an important point of the rise.

Financial events and announcement of financial results still continue.

Check diligently the weekly investment schedule on the following link.

Weekly Investment Schedule (October 31st ～)

Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average, and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.

Thank you.

k-zma

Dow Jones industrial average on October 28th ended at $ 18,161.19, which was 0.1 percent lower than one on October 27th. The cause of the decline is the news that the FBI started the re-investigation of the private e-mail problem of American presidential candidate Hillary Clinton. Investor sentiment has worsened.

World market is not prepared for Trump winning.

Stock prices are greatly influenced by Hillary’s disadvantage (Trump’s advantage), because there are many investors who design a strategy based on Hillary advantage. Dow Jones industrial average had been propped up along the default route of Hillary’s superiority. You might have to prepare that Dow Jones industrial average plummets.

Don’t drop your guard until the American presidential election is over. Currently, support rate of Hillary is 46%. Also the one of Trump is 45%. The result of American presidential election is touch-and go.

【Polls Show Clinton Support Slipped After FBI Letter】
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-10-30/latest-polls-show-clinton-support-slipped-after-fbi-s-letter

Dow Jones industrial average is likely to fall.

In the chart, the shape of daily candle of Dow Jones industrial average is “piece” which has a set of long beards. It is difficult to expect whether Dow Jones industrial average goes up or down. However, following from two points of view, it is likely to fall.

1.75-day moving average line is becoming downward.
2.13-week moving average line has been holding the higher quotation.

Investor’s stance is “wait-and-see” for Nikkei Stock Average.

The Nikkei Stock Average of October 31st finished at 17,425.02 yen, which was 21.39 yen (0.12%) lower than one of October 28th. It took over the fall of Dow Jones industrial average.
Today’s topic I concerned is that financial results of Fanuc, which was announced after the Japanese market closed, was bad. Because Fanuc’s stock contribution is large for the Nikkei Stock Average, I would like to pay attention to how much impact Fanuc’s stock price gives to the investor sentiment.

Also click the following link to check the weekly investment schedule having various political and financial events.

Weekly Investment Schedule (October 31st ～)

Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average, and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.

Thank you,

k-zma

Today’s Dow Jones industrial average was finished at $ 18169.68, which was $ 29.65 (0.2%) lower than yesterday’s one. There were two factors that made Dow Jones industrial average lower.

1.Each financial result for the American companies hasn’t been beyond the expectations of investors.
2.The result of the US presidential election on November 8th is uncertain.

After Dow Jones industrial average is under 18,000 dollars, the stock price will rapidly go down.

The Daily candle chart of Dow Jones industrial average has put a positive line. But , it is likely that Dow Jones industrial average will fall, because the higher quotation has been dropped off. In addition, 25-day moving average line, the 13-week moving average line, and reference line of Ichimoku balance table functions as a resistance line. Although Dow Jones industrial average moves in the range between $ 18,000 and $ 18,250, it is likely to decline.

Nikkei Stock Average steadily rises, but the higher quotation might be suppressed by profit-taking.

Today’s Nikkei Stock Average was approaching at 17,448.25 yen, which was 111.83 yen (0.6%) higher than yesterday’s one. Factor of the rise is the improvement of investor sentiment with respect to depreciation of the yen against the dollar in foreign currency exchange rates and the financial-related companies.

Intensified US interest rate hike causes depreciation of the yen against the dollar. It has been put on  $ 1 = 105 yen. American interest rate hike grows, because new jobless claims of the United States was 258,000 and decreased 3000 compared to those of the previous week.

In addition, investor sentiment was improved like ” The financial results of financial-related companies were not worse than they thought “, although stock prices of financial companies, especially Deutsche Bank, had been sluggish

【Europe’s Top Trading Firms Have Good News as Revenue Jumps】
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-27/europe-s-top-trading-firms-have-some-good-news-as-revenue-jumps

Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average,and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.

Thank you,

k-zma

Today’s Nikkei Stock Average finished at 17,336.42 yen, which is 55.42 yen (0.32%) lower than yesterday’s one. The Nikkei Stock Average has fallen because of the sell-adjustment due to the sharp rise in these days. Although it is early phase of the earnings announcement season, but the Nikkei Stock Average seems to show the underlying strength.

In addition, if you look at “buying and selling trends by every investor” announced today, you can find that the amount of stock bought by foreign investors is larger than that of stock sold by them three weeks in a row. It is very favorable that The foreign investors is gradually returning to the Japanese market.

Tomorrow’s Nikkei Stock Average might fell by the sell-adjustment.

I guess that tomorrow’s Nikkei Stock Average might fall due to the sell-adjustment and weekend factor. And also pay attention to “up-down ratio”. Currently, up-down ratio (25 days) is 144.69. It means that Nikkei Stock Average is too expensive. Tomorrow, the Nikkei Stock Average might fall.

Don’t be a gambler.

Each company’s earnings announcement has been in full swing. You might think that there is a chance to get much profit because of high volatility of stock prices. But please don’t be a gambler. You should check investment schedule carefully.

Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average,and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.

Thank you,

k-zma

Today’s Dow Jones industrial average was finished at $ 18,199.33, which was $ 30.06 (0.2%) higher than yesterday’s one. Although Dow Jones industrial average rose, the movements of it continue to be unstable. There are three reasons of the lack of the stability.

1. Stock price fluctuation caused by earnings announcement of each company. For example, Apple’s stock price declined and Boeing’s stock price rose.
2. The fluctuation of futures prices for crude oil WTI
3. Back-and-forth of American interest rate expectation

Be careful of the American interest rate hike.

Until December of the FOMC, I think that there are lots of various news about the American interest rate hike. “Gradual rise in interest rate” is the default route, but most of the people shown up on the news will be interviewed and make remarks in their own interests. With that in your mind, you need to catch up the news. Already, the expectation “Two rate increases in 2017, three in 2018 ” has shown up.

【BlackRock’s Rieder Sure of December Fed Hike as Treasuries Fall】
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-26/treasuries-fall-as-blackrock-s-rieder-sees-fed-hike-in-december

Fluctuation in the Nikkei average stock price by the earnings announcements will continue still.

Today’s Nikkei Stock Average was approaching at 17,346 yen, which was 45 yen lower than yesterday’s one. Opening price of Nikkei Stock Average has fallen because the stocks of Canon and Nintendo, which had the earnings announcement yesterday, were sold. Please do not simply think the reasons why the stocks of Canon and Nintendo fell down are that the earnings forecast became low and expectation of next profit was down. After all, the important  point is “ how most investors feel about the downward revision and decline expectation. Even in the case of the downward revision and decline expectation, there is possibility that stock prices rise.

Don’t be a gambler.

Each company’s earnings announcement has been in full swing. You might think that there is a chance to get much profit because of high volatility of stock prices. But please don’t be a gambler. You should check investment schedule carefully.

Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average,and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.

Thank you,

k-zma