Jones industrial average on November 16th finished at $ 18868.14, which was 54.92 (0.3%) lower than that on the precious day. Jones industrial average suddenly rises too much. The stock prices continued to rise for 7 consecutive business days in a row. I think that selling adjustment of the profit fixing was once happened to the bank-related stock prices which had been rapidly rising.
【S&P 500 Retreats as Post-Election Rally Shows Signs of Fatigue】
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-16/u-s-index-futures-little-changed-as-investors-assess-trump-gain
The probability that the rise of t today’s Nikkei Stock Average will also be adjusted like that of Jones industrial average
In a daily chart, Jones industrial average has a negative line, but the upward trend will continue still. Although Jones industrial average fell compared to that of the previous day, it has received the support of the rise by the 5-day moving average line. Also, the 50-day moving average line and the 75-day moving average line seem to be golden-crossed. I think that selling adjustment will happen once for Jones industrial average, but there is a high possibility that it will continue to rise.
It is highly likely that the Nikkei Stock Average on November 17th will be pushed down by selling adjustment. Like the American market, the stock prices of the bank might decline. We also need to pay close attention to selling adjustment of the stock prices of export related companies. The exchange rate has fluctuated to the dollar depreciation against the yen at 1 dollar = 108 yen level.
Next investor’s attention is on interest rate hike in December.
In this week, I guess that Jones industrial average will slightly fluctuate, because news about the interest rate hike in December might be reported. Let’s check the weekly investment schedule frequently. Some lectures and a congressional testimony by FRB top officials are scheduled.
Weekly Investment Schedule (November 14th ~)
Nonetheless, the expectation that the interest rate hike will be determined at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on December 13 and 14 has been already included into the world market. Even if FRB top officials imply the interest rate hike in December, the impact to the world market is considered to be limited.
【WSJ Survey: Most Economists See Fed Raising Rates in December, In Wake of Trump’s Election】
http://jp.wsj.com/articles/SB10043214266851864327604582436430543411506
We should continue to focus on changes of investor’s sentiment and stock price fluctuations.
Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average, and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.
Thank you,
k-zma