Jones industrial average recovery on November 8th finished at $ 18259.60, which was $ 371.32(2.1%) higher than that on November 7th. The factors of the rise of Jones industrial average were that Hillary’s e-mail problem had been solved and the Trump risk was reduced. According to a joint poll by Wall Street Journal (WSJ) and NBC News, Hillary is leading 4 points by Trump in the support rate for the American presidential election.

【Anxiety Drains From Market as S&P 500 Rallies After FBI Letter】
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-06/u-s-stock-futures-jump-as-fbi-letter-boosts-clinton-prospects

【Clinton candidate, 4 points lead by latest survey】
http://jp.wsj.com/articles/SB11842517604067003472604582420954211540244

Investors start to take a risk on Hillary’s advantage.

In a daily chart, Jones industrial average had a big positive candle. The next point is whether Jones industrial average can cross over the downward 75-day moving average line. I think there is enough momentum to rise, because of large trading volume.

At first, I thought that the big positive candle was a sign of a short-term rise due to closed trades of short-term investor’s selling position. However, from the point of view of a lot of trading value, investors who saw Hillary as superior set a strong buying.

Just wait for the result of the American presidential election.

The Nikkei Stock Average on November 8th finished at 17,771.38 yen, which was 5,783 (0.03%) lower than that on the previous day. Until the American presidential election is over, we will continue to receive the impression of “wait-and-see”. The trading volume is estimated at 1,077.6 billion, which is less than 2 trillion yen, which is regarded as a standard trading volume.

In charts, the Nikkei Stock Average kept staying at high price and stopped lowering. The Nikkei Stock Average was supported by the 5-day moving average line and the conversion line of Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. The Nikkei Stock Average can’t decide which way to go in the range from 17,000 to 17,300 yen. Needless to say, whether the Nikkei Stock Average will rise or fall depends on the result of tomorrow’s American presidential election.

Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average, and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.

Thank you,

k-zma

The Nikkei Stock Average on November 7th finished at 17,177.21 yen, which was 271.85 yen(1.6%) higher than that on November 4th. The Factor of the rise of the Nikkei Stock average was that Trump risk had been reduced.

However, buying and selling price was 1,971.7 billion yen, which did not exceed the 2 trillion yen, which is considered a standard trading volume. I think there are many “wait-and-see” investors, who try to design their investment strategy after monitoring the results of the American presidential election.

[FBI Absolves Clinton Again, Two Days Ahead of U.S. Election]
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-11-06/fbi-says-its-conclusions-on-clinton-s-e-mails-not-changed

Signs of the rise of the Nikkei Stock Average appear!

In charts, we have signs of the rise of the Nikkei Stock Average. The Nikkei stock average has been supported by the 25-day moving average line and the 52-week moving average line. Also, if the Nikkei stock average can keep the 17,000 yen level in this vein, the 13-week moving average line and the 52-week moving average line might be Golden Cross. Although the 5-day moving average line is likely to function as a resistance line against the rise of the Nikkei Stock Average, I think it can come beyond the 5-day moving average smoothly, depending on the rise of Today’s Dow Jones industrial average.

Will Dow Jones industrial average rise after Hillary’s e-mail problem has been solved?

Dow Jones industrial average on November 4th finished at $ 17,888.28, which is 0.2% lower than that on November 3rd. The cause of the stock price decline is that the difference of support rates between Hillary and Trump became narrowed in the American presidential election.

However, FBI director Comey has determined that “(Hillary Clinton’s emails) have not changed our conclusion.” And then, Dow Jones industrial average on November 7th is expected to stop lowering.

[S&P 500 Extends Selloff to Longest Since 1980 as Election Looms]
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-04/s-p-500-futures-little-changed-before-payrolls-data-elections

[FBI Absolves Clinton Again, Two Days Ahead of U.S. Election]
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-11-06/fbi-says-its-conclusions-on-clinton-s-e-mails-not-changed

In charts, Dow Jones industrial average has gone under the $ 18,000 and been gradually falling. As described above, since Clinton’s e-mail problem has been solved, the probability that Dow Jones industrial average stops lowing is high. However, if the investor’s sentiment is not improved enough, I expect that Dow Jones industrial average falls to the 200-day moving average line(around $ 17,770).

Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average, and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.

Thank you.

k-zma

Dow Jones industrial average on November 3rd finished at $ 17,930.67, which was 0.2 percent lower than that on November 2nd. The cause of the decline is due to investor’s sentiment exacerbated by the news about Trump’s advantage for the American presidential election. Dow Jones industrial average had risen, interweaving Hillary’s advantage.

Although the interest rate hike in December was implied by Ieren, who is a Federal Reserve Chair, it was interwoven into Dow Jones industrial average.

Therefore, news about the American presidential election gave lager impact to Dow Jones industrial average than those about the interest hike in December. It means that most investors are interested in the American presidential election rather than the interest hike in December.

[Stocks Almost Always Rise Before an Election. Not This Year]
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-03/another-norm-breaks-in-political-season-as-stocks-drop-into-vote

In the chart, Dow Jones industrial average has been under $ 18,000. The 5-day moving average line might push the higher quotation of Dow Jones industrial average.

The Nikkei Stock Average declined in the speculation of the American presidential election.

The Nikkei Stock Average on November 4th finished at 16,905.36 yen, which was 229.32 yen(1.3%) lower than that on November 2nd. The cause of the decline is uncertainty of the American presidential election by the support rate rise of Mr. Trump, which made investor’s sentiment worse and worse while the Japanese market was closed. Also, exchange rate has fluctuated up to $ 1 = 102 yen latter. Yen continued to strengthen against dollar. The stock price of export-related companies fell mainly.

Close out a long position as soon as the birth of President Trump has been tinged with reality.

In the daily chart, the Nikkei Stock Average significantly fell for the second successive day. 52-week moving average line(about 17,000 yen) did not fully function as a support line. I think that the Nikkei Stock Average will not fall, as long as there is nothing of a great extent, because the 75-day moving average line and the 13-week moving average line is functioning as a resistance line of the decline of the Nikkei Stock Average.
But, the birth of President Trump has been tinged with reality, it is strongly recommended that you should close out a long position. It is not exaggeration that the Nikkei Stock Average might fell by ¥ 16,300 ~ 16,600.

Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average, and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.

Thank you.

k-zma

Dow Jones industrial average on November 1st finished at $ 18,037.10, which , was 0.6% lower than one on October 31st. The cause of the share price decline is the deterioration of investor sentiment that comes from the Uncertainty of the American presidential election. Most investors had designed the investment strategy based on Clinton win. However, as Trump was taking advantage, investors have been forced to change the investment strategy.

[U.S. Stocks Fall to July Low as Election Anxiety Rises Amid Fed]
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-01/s-p-500-futures-rise-as-china-data-ease-growth-fears-before-fed

Can Dow Jones industrial average stay over $ 18,000 ?

In the chart, Dow Jones industrial average has been barely supported by investors at the edge of $ 18,000. You must be careful if Dow Jones industrial average finishes under the $ 18,000 at the closing. Possibility that Dow Jones industrial average plummets will be very high.

Direction of the Nikkei Stock Average will be determined by fluctuations of Dow Jones industrial average, while Japanese market is close.

The Nikkei Stock Average on November 2nd finished at 17,134.68 yen, which was 307.72 yen (1.76%) lower than one on November 1st. The cause of the decline is that Trump’s support rate rises for the American presidential election and the American presidential election result has become uncertain. In addition, Yen becomes strong against the dollar. The stock of companies that make up the Nikkei Stock Average was sold widely.

In the daily chart, Nikkei Stock Average fell significantly. Fortunately, in the weekly chart, it is supported by the 52-week moving average line.

However, there is also a possibility that Nikkei Stock Average will plunge under the 52-week moving average line, depending on the fluctuations of the Dow Jones industrial average on November 2rd and 3rd.

Especially, be careful on November 3rd! I think that it is November 3rd when Japanese market is close and foreign investors might play a funny trick on the exchange rates.

Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average, and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.

Thank you.

k-zma

Dow Jones industrial average on October 31st finished at $ 18,142.42, which was 0.1 percent lower than one on October 28th. It seems that we don’t have to take into account the probability of the decline of Dow Jones industrial average. However, the downside risk of it is enhanced by two kinds of news below.

1. There is a growing uncertainty over the American presidential election results. In the American presidential election, the difference of the support rate between Clinton and Trump has been reduced.

2. Futures prices for crude oil WTI has been falling. Some countries try to seek a production cut participation exemption, although production cut agreement is almost made.

【Bonds Climb as Oil Plunge Damps Inflation Jitters; Ruble Slumps】
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-30/mexican-peso-falls-with-s-p-500-futures-as-clinton-s-lead-slips

【One Measure of Risk Just Hit Its Highest Level in Four Months】
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-31/s-p-500-futures-little-changed-as-investors-await-fed-election

Wait until next week! A strong point might appear

The Nikkei Stock Average on November 1st finished at 17,442.40 yen, which is 17.38 yen (0.1%) higher than one on October 31st. Announcement of the Bank of Japan that reaches a consensus of investors didn’t make a major impact on the Nikkei Stock Average.

Buying and selling price (2,109.5 billion yen) has been exceeded over 2 trillion, which is considered to be a standard trade. It feels like to come back in trade, in spite of the fact that
there are considerable events, such as FOMC and the announcement of the US employment statistics.

In the chart, the Nikkei Stock Average is likely to go up. The Golden Cross of 13-week moving average line and 52-week moving average line will be an important point of the rise.

Financial events and announcement of financial results still continue.

Check diligently the weekly investment schedule on the following link.

Weekly Investment Schedule (October 31st ～)

Caution
The contents of this blog are written based on the personal opinions about Dow Jones industrial average, the Nikkei Stock Average, and the sentiment of short-term investors, medium-term investors, and long-term investors. With respect to the loss caused by investment based on the contents of the blog, I do not take any responsibility.

Thank you.

k-zma